Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is $3,000 at 63.5%, ahead of $1,000 at 36.5%. $121K traded across 2 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
EthereumHit FirstCryptoCrypto PricesPrice Milestone
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| $3,000 | 63.5% | 0.0 |
| $1,000 | 36.5% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Ethereum’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, $3,000 is the favorite at 63.5%, followed by $1,000 at 36.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $121K in total and $5 in the last 24 hours, with about $7K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.