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Home / Markets / Will Brian Armstrong respond to trading_axe?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Brian Armstrong respond to trading_axe?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 97.0%; a week before, –. $6K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved January 18, 2025

Price 1 day before

97.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$6K
1 outcome

TwitterXCryptocoinbaseexchange

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$6K
NoWON$6K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-1401-1601-18
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 97% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

On January 13, X user "@trading_axe" posted that he will drop a video that will cause an enormous scandal involving Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase. You can read more about it here: https://x.com/trading_axe/status/1878829576299692046 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brian Armstrong makes any public statement (including X posts) addressing the @trading_axe posts by January 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Replies that Brian Armstrong makes to posts commenting on the situation will count, even if they are short (e.g. saying "Yes" to a post about the @trading_axe posts will count). The primary resolution source for this market will be statements from Brian Armstrong, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Brian Armstrong respond to trading_axe?" resolve?
It resolved No around January 17, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$6K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.