Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 93.5%; a week before, 81.5%. $1.7M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
SoccerSportsworld cupFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World Cup
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?" resolve?
- It resolved No around July 20, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.5% one day before close, 81.5% one week before and 68.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.7M across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.