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Home / Markets / Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 3
Resolved market scorecard

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?: result and scorecard

Resolved Donald Trump. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 51.0%; a week before, 82.0%. $959K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Donald Trump
resolved January 31, 2026

Price 1 day before

51.0%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

82.0%
30 days before: 79.5%

Volume

$959K
45 outcomes

listTrumpEpsteinTrump Presidency

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Donald TrumpWON$64K
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezWON$49K
Chuck SchumerWON$45K
Alan DershowitzWON$43K
Justin TrudeauWON$34K
Tom HanksWON$32K
Barack ObamaWON$31K
Al GoreWON$30K
Elon MuskWON$29K
Stephen HawkingWON$28K
Jamie DimonWON$28K
Bill GatesWON$25K
Piers MorganWON$24K
Larry PageWON$23K
Kirsten GillibrandWON$23K
Sean CombsWON$21K
Jimmy KimmelWON$21K
Rachel MaddowWON$20K
Woody AllenWON$20K
Bernie SandersWON$20K
Jay-ZWON$19K
David KochWON$19K
Susie WilesWON$19K
David CopperfieldWON$18K
Anderson CooperWON$17K
Stephen ColbertWON$16K
Tony BlairWON$16K
Alec BaldwinWON$16K
Quentin TarantinoWON$16K
Joe BidenWON$16K
Ehud BarakWON$15K
Hillary ClintonWON$15K
Oprah WinfreyWON$15K
Henry KissingerWON$15K
Ellen DegeneresWON$15K
Reid HoffmanWON$14K
Bill ClintonWON$13K
Michael JacksonWON$13K
Robert Downey Jr.WON$13K
Noam ChomskyWON$11K
Leonardo DiCaprioWON$11K
Kevin SpaceyWON$11K
Prince AndrewWON$10K
Rupert MurdochWON$7K
Howard LutnickWON$1K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-2701-1402-01
Donald TrumpAlexandria Ocasio-CortezChuck SchumerAlan Dershowitz
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 51% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only previously unreleased files, as of market creation, which contain novel material not previously available to the public will qualify. Documents that are merely re-released, have had redactions removed, repackaged, or newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify. Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities. Previously unreleased files is inclusive of any written, audio, photo or video documentation (e.g., qualifying photos which depict the listed individual will count). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?" resolve?
It resolved Donald Trump around March 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 51.0% one day before close, 82.0% one week before and 79.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$959K across 45 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.