Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Fnatic at 94.5%, ahead of G2 Esports at 94.0%. $34K traded across 40 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
lolSportsEsportsleague of legends
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Fnatic | 94.5% | +19.7 |
| G2 Esports | 94.0% | +0.5 |
| Anyone's Legend | 93.5% | +43.0 |
| GIANTX | 92.0% | +0.5 |
| KIWOOM DRX | 92.0% | +15.5 |
| NONGSHIM RED FORCE | 91.8% | 0.0 |
| Team Heretics | 91.1% | -0.4 |
| EDWARD GAMING | 89.5% | +9.0 |
| Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS | 89.5% | 0.0 |
| Cloud9 | 86.5% | 0.0 |
| Suzhou LNG Esports | 84.5% | 0.0 |
| WeiboGaming | 84.0% | 0.0 |
| DN SOOPers | 83.0% | +3.0 |
| SK Gaming | 74.0% | 0.0 |
| Shopify Rebellion | 74.0% | 0.0 |
| kt Rolster | 73.9% | -0.4 |
| TOP ESPORTS | 71.8% | -14.8 |
| Movistar KOI | 71.0% | +2.0 |
| Hanwha Life Esports | 68.0% | 0.0 |
| Xi'an Team WE | 65.0% | +4.5 |
| LGD GAMING | 62.5% | 0.0 |
| Sentinels | 61.5% | +28.5 |
| BNK FEARX | 59.5% | +0.1 |
| Invictus Gaming | 54.0% | 0.0 |
| T1 | 53.5% | -1.0 |
| Team Vitality | 50.5% | 0.0 |
| FlyQuest | 50.5% | 0.0 |
| Karmine Corp | 50.0% | +29.0 |
| Gen.G Esports | 50.0% | +0.5 |
| Team Liquid | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Disguised | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| THUNDER TALK GAMING | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Fluxo W7M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| FURIA | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| LEVIATÁN | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| LOUD | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| LØS | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Natus Vincere | 49.5% | 0.0 |
| Dplus KIA | 37.5% | 0.0 |
| HANJIN BRION | 19.0% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page) by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Fnatic is the favorite at 94.5%, followed by G2 Esports at 94.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $34K in total and $40 in the last 24 hours, with about $4K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.