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What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by November 30?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is ↑ 80 at 50.4%, ahead of ↓ 45 at 49.0%. $6K traded across 9 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

50.4%
↑ 80 · Trade →

24h move

+36.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$6K
24h $2K · liquidity $3K

Closes

December 1, 2026
25 days left

EVIVCryptoVolmexMonthlyEthereum

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
↑ 8050.4% +36.00.0$84378.6¢
↓ 4549.0% -5.50.0$45880.0¢
↓ 5039.0% -20.00.0$7732.0¢
↑ 6532.0% -4.50.0$10252.0¢
↑ 7028.0% +8.50.0$6934.0¢
↑ 909.1% -1.40.0$2637.8¢
↑ 1006.9% +1.20.0$8783.8¢
↓ 406.7% -7.30.0$86212.7¢
↓ 353.3% -1.80.0$9385.5¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-0211-0411-06
↑ 80↓ 45↓ 50↑ 65

Market rules and resolution

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1-minute candle for the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (EVIV) between the creation of this market and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final "High" or "Low" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High values, below for ↓ Low values) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart becomes unavailable or Volmex discontinues the index, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after the specified date; if data remains unavailable at that point, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. No substitute index or data provider will be used. The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" and "Low" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/EVIV, with the chart set to "1m" on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index as displayed on Volmex. Values from other data providers or other indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying ↑ 80 at 50% risks 50¢ to win 50¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by November 30?"?
As of November 6, 2026, ↑ 80 is the favorite at 50.4%, followed by ↓ 45 at 49.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on December 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$6K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.