What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by November 30?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is ↑ 55 at 47.0%, ahead of ↑ 50 at 34.0%. $7K traded across 6 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
BVIVCryptoVolmexBitcoinMonthly
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| ↑ 55 | 47.0% | -4.5 |
| ↑ 50 | 34.0% | -27.0 |
| ↑ 60 | 14.0% | -0.5 |
| ↑ 70 | 7.0% | -0.5 |
| ↓ 35 | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| ↓ 30 | 3.5% | -0.3 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1-minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final "High" or "Low" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High values, below for ↓ Low values) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart becomes unavailable or Volmex discontinues the index, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after the specified date; if data remains unavailable at that point, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. No substitute index or data provider will be used. The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" and "Low" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart set to "1m" on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index as displayed on Volmex. Values from other data providers or other indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by November 30?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, ↑ 55 is the favorite at 47.0%, followed by ↑ 50 at 34.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $7K in total and $4K in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.