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Home / Markets / What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of February?
Resolved market scorecard

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of February?: result and scorecard

Resolved ↑$6,900. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $353K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

↑$6,900
resolved February 5, 2026

Price 1 day before

–
Unknown

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$353K
11 outcomes

Depreciated3EquitiesHide From NewIndiciesSPX

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
↑$6,900WON$52K
↓ $6,800WON$6K
↑ $7,000LOST$76K
↓ $6,750LOST$53K
↑ $7,040LOST$41K
↓ $6,700LOST$40K
↓ $6,500LOST$20K
↑ $7,100LOST$19K
↑ $7,350LOST$17K
↓ $6,600LOST$17K
↑ $7,200LOST$14K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-0502-1602-28
↑$6,900↓ $6,800↑ $7,000↓ $6,750
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at – the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for February 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of February?" resolve?
It resolved ↑$6,900 around February 28, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$353K across 11 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.