What will Pep Guardiola's next job be?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Job A at 50.0%, ahead of Job B at 50.0%. $3K traded across 33 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Job A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Job T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 46.0% | 0.0 |
| Juventus | 46.0% | 0.0 |
| Barcelona | 45.0% | -0.6 |
| Bayern Munich | 36.0% | -0.7 |
| Real Madrid | 11.8% | +0.1 |
| Manchester City | 7.1% | +1.3 |
| Spain | 6.6% | +5.0 |
| Brazil | 6.4% | +2.9 |
| Italy | 6.0% | 0.0 |
| Portugal | 4.7% | +0.2 |
| England | 4.2% | 0.0 |
| Argentina | 2.4% | +0.3 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:06 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the next club or national team for which Pep Guardiola is officially appointed as manager or head coach, following his departure from Manchester City at the end of the 2025-26 season. Only an appointment as manager or head coach of a senior men's club or national team counts. Non-coaching roles do not count, including his current role as a Global Ambassador for City Football Group, and any sporting director, technical director, advisory, ambassadorial or ownership position. An official announcement by the club or national association before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. If Pep Guardiola has not been officially appointed as a manager or head coach by July 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the appointing club or national association. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "What will Pep Guardiola's next job be?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Job A is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Job B at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $3K in total and $40 in the last 24 hours, with about $5K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.