Who is favored in "What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?"?

As of November 6, 2026, $1M is the favorite at 7.0%, followed by $3M at 4.8%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$42K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

Live market data

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?: live odds and probabilities

Name: What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is $1M at 7.0%, ahead of $3M at 4.8%. $42K traded across 5 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:20 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

7.0%

$1M · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d -3.5

Volume

$42K

24h $0 · liquidity $3K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Based Crypto Fees Polymarket Prediction Markets

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
$1M	7.0%	0.0	-3.5	$18K	2.0¢
$3M	4.8%	-0.1	+1.9	$4K	4.3¢
$2M	3.5%	0.0	+0.3	$7K	3.5¢
$5M	2.4%	0.0	+0.3	$7K	0.7¢
$4M	1.1%	-0.6	-0.9	$7K	0.7¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:20 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

$1M$3M$2M$5M

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point. This market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying $1M at 7% risks 7¢ to win 93¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?"?: As of November 6, 2026, $1M is the favorite at 7.0%, followed by $3M at 4.8%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $42K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.