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Home / Markets / Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth?
Live market data

Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is 21% to 25% at 73.0%, ahead of 25% to 29% at 14.0%. $14K traded across 5 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

73.0%
21% to 25% · Trade →

24h move

+1.5
pts · 7d +11.5

Volume

$14K
24h $119 · liquidity $3K

Closes

November 19, 2026
13 days left

WMTKPIsFinancewalmartRecurring

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
21% to 25%73.0% +1.5+11.5$7K2.0¢
25% to 29%14.0% 0.00.0$3K16.0¢
17% to 21%5.0% -0.5-9.2$1K8.1¢
<17%2.9% 0.0+0.1$9693.9¢
29%+0.4% -0.1-0.2$9340.3¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-3011-0211-06
21% to 25%25% to 29%17% to 21%<17%

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q3 Walmart U.S. eCommerce sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying 21% to 25% at 73% risks 73¢ to win 27¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth?"?
As of November 6, 2026, 21% to 25% is the favorite at 73.0%, followed by 25% to 29% at 14.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 19, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$14K in total and $119 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.