UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27): live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Czechia at 88.5%, ahead of Serbia at 83.5%. $55K traded across 16 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
SoccerSportsHide From NewUEFA Nations LeagueUNL Matchday
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Czechia | 88.5% | 0.0 |
| Serbia | 83.5% | 0.0 |
| Türkiye | 77.5% | 0.0 |
| Wales | 52.0% | 0.0 |
| Netherlands | 50.0% | +0.1 |
| Germany | 48.8% | +44.4 |
| Croatia | 26.0% | -1.0 |
| Norway | 21.9% | +1.7 |
| Denmark | 18.5% | 0.0 |
| Belgium | 8.1% | +1.5 |
| Italy | 5.8% | +0.6 |
| Greece | 2.8% | -0.1 |
| England | 2.5% | -0.8 |
| Spain | 1.6% | +0.1 |
| Portugal | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| France | 0.9% | -0.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from UEFA Nations League A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League A league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off defeat, or by any other official decision recognized by UEFA. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Czechia is the favorite at 88.5%, followed by Serbia at 83.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on April 14, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $55K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $12K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.