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Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring QBs: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Brock Purdy at 81.0%, ahead of Jared Goff at 53.0%. $30K traded across 50 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

81.0%
Brock Purdy · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$30K
24h $0 · liquidity $12K

Closes

January 27, 2027
82 days left

NFL (All)Sportsfootball

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Brock Purdy81.0% 0.00.0$15136.0¢
Jared Goff53.0% 0.0+1.5$80092.0¢
Josh Allen51.4% +0.9+0.5$18096.8¢
Patrick Mahomes51.0% +0.5+33.5$79990.0¢
Drake Maye50.5% 0.0+0.5$4297.0¢
Jayden Daniels50.2% -0.2-0.2$14099.4¢
Joe Burrow50.0% 0.00.0$4098.0¢
Trevor Lawrence50.0% 0.00.0$4798.0¢
Matthew Stafford50.0% 0.00.0$8298.0¢
Caleb Williams50.0% 0.00.0$098.0¢
Justin Herbert50.0% 0.00.0$098.0¢
Jordan Love50.0% 0.00.0$098.0¢
Bryce Young50.0% 0.00.0$11798.0¢
Kirk Cousins50.0% 0.00.0$598.0¢
Fernando Mendoza50.0% +0.1-0.2$58898.7¢
Carson Beck49.8% +0.8+0.2$37898.3¢
Michael Penix Jr.49.5% -0.1-0.7$29298.7¢
Dak Prescott25.5% 0.0-3.5$2K33.0¢
Tyler Shough15.0% 0.00.0$35428.0¢
Lamar Jackson9.0% 0.00.0$20112.0¢
C.J. Stroud7.1% 0.0-0.1$79812.5¢
Jaxson Dart5.8% +4.3+5.1$5569.3¢
Sam Darnold5.5% +0.7+0.7$7864.3¢
Jameis Winston4.1% -0.1-20.9$5616.8¢
Shedeur Sanders4.0% -0.1-0.4$1K1.9¢
Kyler Murray3.8% -0.1-3.4$5293.6¢
Jalen Hurts3.4% 0.00.0$1355.2¢
Malik Willis3.3% -0.1-0.1$3K3.6¢
Ty Simpson3.3% +0.1-0.1$1K3.5¢
Deshaun Watson3.1% 0.00.0$7054.7¢
Cam Ward3.0% 0.0+0.1$9164.4¢
Anthony Richardson Sr.3.0% -47.3-42.5$1833.8¢
Aaron Rodgers2.9% +0.1-0.5$1K3.0¢
Marcus Mariota2.9% 0.0-1.1$5173.6¢
Daniel Jones2.9% -0.1+0.3$1414.3¢
Baker Mayfield2.5% -0.4-0.3$2K3.1¢
Jacoby Brissett2.5% -0.3-0.3$5213.3¢
Geno Smith2.4% -0.3-0.3$1K3.5¢
Nick Mullens2.4% +0.4+0.8$2943.1¢
Jake Browning2.4% 0.0-0.1$1803.3¢
Tommy DeVito2.1% 0.0+0.1$3793.1¢
Sam Howell2.1% +0.10.0$4341.9¢
J.J. McCarthy1.6% +0.4+0.4$5942.8¢
Tua Tagovailoa1.6% -0.1-0.1$1K2.7¢
Bo Nix1.5% 0.00.0$3222.5¢
Justin Fields0.8% 0.00.0$9551.2¢
Joe Flacco0.7% 0.0-19.1$6630.9¢
Tyson Bagent0.7% 0.00.0$8990.9¢
Jarrett Stidham0.5% 0.00.0$2K1.1¢
Mac Jones0.2% -1.8-1.2$4990.2¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
Brock PurdyJared GoffJosh AllenPatrick Mahomes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named quarterback finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 5 quarterbacks by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No". Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more quarterbacks are tied such that more than 5 would qualify for the top 5, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 5 quarterbacks are classified as top 5. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

Each market in this event will resolve to "Yes" if the named quarterback finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 5 quarterbacks by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No". Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more quarterbacks are tied such that more than 5 would qualify for the top 5, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 5 quarterbacks are classified as top 5. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Brock Purdy at 81% risks 81¢ to win 19¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring QBs"?
As of November 6, 2026, Brock Purdy is the favorite at 81.0%, followed by Jared Goff at 53.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 27, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$30K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $12K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.