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Resolved market scorecard

Super Bowl MVP: result and scorecard

Resolved Patrick Mahomes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 38.5%; a week before, –. $26K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Patrick Mahomes
resolved February 12, 2024

Price 1 day before

38.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$26K
5 outcomes

AllSportsfootballbrock purdySuper Bowl

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Patrick MahomesWON$4K
Brock PurdyLOST$10K
OtherLOST$5K
Travis KelceLOST$4K
Christian McCaffreyLOST$4K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-0702-0902-12
Patrick MahomesBrock PurdyOtherTravis Kelce
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 39% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

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Frequently asked questions

How did "Super Bowl MVP" resolve?
It resolved Patrick Mahomes around February 11, 2024.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 38.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$26K across 5 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.