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Resolved market scorecard

Super Bowl LIX MVP: result and scorecard

Resolved Jalen Hurts. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 22.5%; a week before, 20.0%. $1.7M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Jalen Hurts
resolved February 10, 2025

Price 1 day before

22.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

20.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$1.7M
26 outcomes

NFL (All)Super BowlSportsSuper Bowl LIXSuper Bowl Props

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Jalen HurtsWON$240K
Saquon BarkleyLOST$786K
Patrick MahomesLOST$265K
Devonta SmithLOST$179K
Travis KelceLOST$158K
AJ BrownLOST$41K
Josh AllenLOST$3K
Jayden DanielsLOST$786
James CookLOST$430
Xavier WorthyLOST$0
Chris JonesLOST$0
Kareem HuntLOST$0
JuJu Smith-SchusterLOST$0
Jalen CarterLOST$0
Zack BaunLOST$0
Dallas GoedertLOST$0
George KarlaftisLOST$0
Player ILOST$0
Kenny PickettLOST$0
Player KLOST$0
Player LLOST$0
Player MLOST$0
Player NLOST$0
Player OLOST$0
Player PLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2502-0202-10
Jalen HurtsSaquon BarkleyPatrick MahomesDevonta Smith
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 23% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Super Bowl LIX MVP Award. If 2 or more players are announced as winners of the Super Bowl LIX MVP Award, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Super Bowl LIX has not been completed or the MVP Award is not announced by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or there this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Super Bowl LIX MVP" resolve?
It resolved Jalen Hurts around February 9, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 22.5% one day before close, 20.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$1.7M across 26 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.