Pro Football: First RB to 1,000 Rushing Yards: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Bijan Robinson at 72.5%, ahead of Kenneth Walker III at 50.5%. $21K traded across 32 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
NFL (All)SportsfootballSeason stats
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 72.5% | 0.0 |
| Kenneth Walker III | 50.5% | 0.0 |
| Kyren Williams | 50.0% | +0.1 |
| James Cook | 50.0% | -0.5 |
| Derrick Henry | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Quinshon Judkins | 49.4% | +46.1 |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | 48.0% | -1.1 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 26.5% | 0.0 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 26.4% | +10.4 |
| Bucky Irving | 5.3% | +1.7 |
| De'Von Achane | 5.1% | +2.5 |
| Jonathan Taylor | 4.5% | +0.1 |
| Cameron Skattebo | 3.9% | -0.1 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 3.9% | +0.1 |
| Breece Hall | 3.8% | +0.1 |
| Rachaad White | 3.7% | +2.7 |
| Chase Brown | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 3.2% | +1.1 |
| Jaylen Warren | 2.9% | 0.0 |
| Christian McCaffrey | 2.0% | +0.2 |
| Tony Pollard | 1.2% | -1.9 |
| D'Andre Swift | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Jadarian Price | 0.8% | 0.0 |
| Javonte Williams | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Jeremiyah Love | 0.7% | +0.3 |
| David Montgomery | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Rico Dowdle | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Ashton Jeanty | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| Aaron Jones | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Josh Jacobs | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| Saquon Barkley | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Omarion Hampton | 0.3% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the first running back to reach 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". A player reaches 1,000 rushing yards at the moment his cumulative 2026-27 NFL regular season rushing yards total equals or exceeds 1,000. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If two or more running backs reach 1,000 rushing yards within the same game, or in separate games that have the same scheduled kickoff time, the market for each such player who reaches the mark will resolve to "Yes". If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined which running back first reached 1,000 rushing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Pro Football: First RB to 1,000 Rushing Yards"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Bijan Robinson is the favorite at 72.5%, followed by Kenneth Walker III at 50.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 27, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $21K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $10K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.