Pro Football: Fernando Mendoza named Raiders starting QB by...?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Week 18 at 97.3%, ahead of Week 17 at 84.0%. $21K traded across 10 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
NFL (All)SportsfootballFernando Mendozalas vegas raiders
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Week 18 | 97.3% | +0.1 |
| Week 17 | 84.0% | 0.0 |
| Week 16 | 72.0% | 0.0 |
| Week 15 | 52.5% | +2.0 |
| Week 10 | 47.5% | -1.5 |
| Week 14 | 44.5% | -2.0 |
| Week 13 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
| Week 12 | 27.0% | -4.5 |
| Week 11 | 15.5% | -31.0 |
| Week 9 | 4.7% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through the listed week of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through the listed week, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 18 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before January 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 18, this market will resolve t
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Pro Football: Fernando Mendoza named Raiders starting QB by...?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Week 18 is the favorite at 97.3%, followed by Week 17 at 84.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 12, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $21K in total and $20 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.