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Home / Markets / Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader
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Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Joe Burrow at 52.5%, ahead of Player A at 50.0%. $45K traded across 76 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

52.5%
Joe Burrow · Trade →

24h move

+13.0
pts · 7d +31.0

Volume

$45K
24h $2K · liquidity $38K

Closes

January 27, 2027
82 days left

NFL (All)SportsfootballSeason stats

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Joe Burrow52.5% +13.0+31.0$9K5.0¢
Player A50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player B50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player C50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player D50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player E50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player F50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player G50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player H50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player I50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player J50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player K50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player L50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player M50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player N50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player O50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player P50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player Q50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player R50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player S50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player T50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player U50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player V50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player W50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player X50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player Y50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player Z50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AA50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AB50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AC50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AD50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AE50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AF50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AG50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AH50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AI50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AJ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AK50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AL50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AM50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Player AN50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Jared Goff14.5% +5.5-15.0$3K3.0¢
Trevor Lawrence12.8% -13.6+5.5$3K24.1¢
Jayden Daniels12.0% +9.5+7.4$35023.8¢
Matthew Stafford9.5% 0.0-1.5$5K3.0¢
Lamar Jackson7.5% -18.1+6.5$34014.7¢
Jalen Hurts5.5% +5.5+4.9$39310.8¢
Jordan Love5.1% -16.0+0.5$5625.9¢
Dak Prescott4.5% -0.3-0.7$2K7.9¢
Aaron Rodgers4.5% -1.6-22.3$2628.7¢
Kirk Cousins4.2% +2.5+1.9$2K5.3¢
Justin Herbert4.0% -7.5-11.3$5497.8¢
Drake Maye3.8% 0.0-4.0$7477.2¢
Bryce Young3.8% +0.5+0.1$1K7.3¢
Kyler Murray3.6% -0.1-23.1$4675.2¢
Patrick Mahomes3.4% -0.7-13.9$2K6.3¢
Tyler Shough3.2% +1.3-23.8$6566.0¢
Josh Allen3.1% -0.1+0.3$2K5.8¢
C.J. Stroud3.1% 0.0-7.0$3116.0¢
Jaxson Dart2.9% -0.2-7.3$1K5.6¢
Caleb Williams2.3% 0.0-14.6$8964.3¢
JJ McCarthy2.3% -6.9-20.2$5954.1¢
Sam Darnold2.1% 0.0-25.8$2894.0¢
Bo Nix2.0% 0.0-0.4$3673.8¢
Michael Penix Jr.1.5% 0.0+0.1$4372.8¢
Daniel Jones1.0% 0.0-23.1$2541.8¢
Jacoby Brissett0.9% 0.0-0.1$2931.7¢
Brock Purdy0.8% -9.6-34.8$5K0.9¢
Malik Willis0.3% 0.0-0.1$4620.3¢
Geno Smith0.1% 0.0-0.9$1960.1¢
Shedeur Sanders0.1% 0.0-0.1$3270.1¢
Deshaun Watson0.1% 0.0-0.9$6810.1¢
Cam Ward0.1% 0.0-0.6$2090.1¢
Fernando Mendoza0.1% 0.0-0.1$3840.1¢
Carson Beck0.1% 0.0-0.8$3210.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
Joe Burrow

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Joe Burrow at 53% risks 53¢ to win 48¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader"?
As of November 6, 2026, Joe Burrow is the favorite at 52.5%, followed by Player A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 27, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$45K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $38K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.