Pro Football: 2026-27 3,500+ Passing Yards: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Joe Burrow at 89.0%, ahead of Matthew Stafford at 87.5%. $51K traded across 25 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
NFL (All)SportsfootballSeason stats
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 89.0% | +2.0 |
| Matthew Stafford | 87.5% | +5.0 |
| Jared Goff | 86.7% | +0.1 |
| Jordan Love | 84.5% | 0.0 |
| C.J. Stroud | 83.5% | 0.0 |
| Bryce Young | 83.5% | +3.0 |
| Dak Prescott | 80.5% | +5.0 |
| Josh Allen | 80.5% | +1.0 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 80.0% | -3.5 |
| Brock Purdy | 79.0% | +6.5 |
| Drake Maye | 76.0% | +5.0 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 76.0% | +6.5 |
| Tyler Shough | 71.5% | +0.5 |
| Justin Herbert | 42.5% | 0.0 |
| Caleb Williams | 35.0% | -0.5 |
| Sam Darnold | 34.0% | +8.0 |
| Bo Nix | 29.5% | +1.0 |
| Cameron Ward | 22.4% | -0.6 |
| Malik Willis | 13.3% | -25.6 |
| Jayden Daniels | 11.9% | 0.0 |
| Baker Mayfield | 10.0% | -4.5 |
| Jalen Hurts | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| Lamar Jackson | 3.3% | 0.0 |
| Fernando Mendoza | 2.5% | +0.1 |
| Jaxson Dart | 0.7% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 3,500. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Pro Football: 2026-27 3,500+ Passing Yards"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Joe Burrow is the favorite at 89.0%, followed by Matthew Stafford at 87.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 27, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $51K in total and $4K in the last 24 hours, with about $19K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.