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Resolved market scorecard

Next Manchester United manager?: result and scorecard

Resolved Michael Carrick. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.9%; a week before, 98.6%. $964K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Michael Carrick
resolved May 22, 2026

Price 1 day before

98.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.6%
30 days before: 61.0%

Volume

$964K
15 outcomes

SoccerSportsEPLman united

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Michael CarrickWON$439K
Darren FletcherLOST$184K
Ole Gunnar SolskjærLOST$136K
Oliver GlasnerLOST$84K
Gareth SouthgateLOST$26K
Laurent BlancLOST$24K
Enzo MarescaLOST$19K
Xabi AlonsoLOST$15K
Thomas TuchelLOST$13K
Kieran McKennaLOST$11K
XaviLOST$7K
Luis EnriqueLOST$7K
Candidate GLOST$0
Candidate HLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-0603-1505-22
Michael CarrickDarren FletcherOle Gunnar SolskjærOliver Glasner
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Next Manchester United manager?" resolve?
It resolved Michael Carrick around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.9% one day before close, 98.6% one week before and 61.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$964K across 15 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.