NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Utah at 47.1%, ahead of Georgia at 37.5%. $68K traded across 50 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
CFB (All)NCAAFSportsfootballCFP
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Utah | 47.1% | +34.8 |
| Georgia | 37.5% | +2.5 |
| Notre Dame | 29.5% | +1.0 |
| Miami (FL) | 24.0% | -3.5 |
| LSU | 17.0% | 0.0 |
| Texas | 16.5% | 0.0 |
| Alabama | 13.0% | +0.5 |
| Indiana | 12.5% | -2.0 |
| Ohio St. | 11.0% | -3.5 |
| Ole Miss | 11.0% | +0.5 |
| BYU | 7.0% | 0.0 |
| USC | 6.0% | 0.0 |
| Florida | 6.0% | 0.0 |
| SMU | 6.0% | 0.0 |
| Missouri | 6.0% | 0.0 |
| Kentucky | 5.8% | 0.0 |
| Oregon | 5.0% | +0.9 |
| Texas Tech | 5.0% | +0.4 |
| Michigan | 5.0% | +0.1 |
| Houston | 5.0% | -0.3 |
| Arizona St. | 4.7% | +2.1 |
| Texas A&M | 4.3% | +0.1 |
| Iowa | 4.2% | -0.1 |
| Louisville | 4.0% | -0.1 |
| James Madison | 3.9% | -0.1 |
| Vanderbilt | 3.9% | +0.1 |
| Florida St. | 3.8% | 0.0 |
| Oklahoma St. | 3.8% | -0.4 |
| North Carolina St. | 3.6% | 0.0 |
| Pittsburgh | 3.6% | 0.0 |
| Kansas St. | 3.5% | +0.1 |
| TCU | 3.5% | +0.1 |
| Washington | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| Georgia Tech | 3.5% | -0.1 |
| Auburn | 3.4% | -0.6 |
| Virginia Tech | 3.4% | +0.2 |
| Arkansas | 3.4% | +0.1 |
| South Carolina | 3.3% | -0.3 |
| Illinois | 3.2% | 0.0 |
| Oklahoma | 3.0% | 0.0 |
| Virginia | 2.8% | -0.1 |
| Penn St. | 2.6% | 0.0 |
| Tulane | 2.5% | 0.0 |
| Miami (OH) | 2.3% | 0.0 |
| Arizona | 2.3% | -0.1 |
| North Texas | 2.3% | 0.0 |
| California | 2.2% | +0.1 |
| Tennessee | 1.7% | +0.1 |
| Baylor | 1.7% | -0.4 |
| Clemson | 1.5% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:20 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team plays in the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game" refers to the title game concluding the College Football Playoff for the 2026 college football season, scheduled to be played in January 2027. A team counts as making the game if it is one of the two teams that competes in it. If the College Football Playoff National Championship Game is canceled or not played by February 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Utah is the favorite at 47.1%, followed by Georgia at 37.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on February 9, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $68K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $49K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.