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Home / Markets / NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?
Resolved market scorecard

NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?: result and scorecard

Resolved July 7 or after. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.0%; a week before, –. $43K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

July 7 or after
resolved July 7, 2026

Price 1 day before

98.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$43K
6 outcomes

LebronNBA OffseasonSportsBasketballNBA

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
July 7 or afterWON$21K
July 4LOST$9K
July 6LOST$6K
July 5LOST$5K
July 2LOST$1K
July 3LOST$562

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-0307-0507-07
July 7 or afterJuly 4July 6July 5
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. All dates will be measured in Eastern Time (UTC-4:00). The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?" resolve?
It resolved July 7 or after around October 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$43K across 6 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.