How did "NBA: SGA Award Parlay" resolve?

It resolved No around July 1, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 59.5% one day before close, 36.0% one week before and 39.5% one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

NBA: SGA Award Parlay: result and scorecard

Name: NBA: SGA Award Parlay prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 59.5%; a week before, 36.0%. $62K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved May 31, 2026

Price 1 day before

59.5%

Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

36.0%

30 days before: 39.5%

Volume

$62K

1 outcome

2026 NBA Playoffs Basketball NBA mvp Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$62K
No	WON	$62K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 60% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is declared NBA MVP, NBA Finals MVP and the Oklahoma City Thunder are declared 2026 NBA Champions. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to be awarded any of the above honors (e.g. the Oklahoma City Thunder are eliminated from the 2026 NBA Playoffs, player does not participate), this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of the 2026 Finals and listed awards have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.NBA.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "NBA: SGA Award Parlay" resolve?: It resolved No around July 1, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 59.5% one day before close, 36.0% one week before and 39.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $62K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.