Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Jun 30, 2027 at 96.2%, ahead of Apr 30, 2027 at 92.0%. $38K traded across 4 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2027 | 96.2% | -0.8 |
| Apr 30, 2027 | 92.0% | -1.5 |
| Feb 28, 2027 | 88.4% | -3.0 |
| Dec 31, 2026 | 79.0% | +3.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Jun 30, 2027 is the favorite at 96.2%, followed by Apr 30, 2027 at 92.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $38K in total and $384 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.