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Home / Markets / Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 91.3%; a week before, 92.5%. $165K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved April 29, 2026

Price 1 day before

91.3%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

92.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$165K
1 outcome

MetaHide From NewFinanceEquitiesEarnings

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$165K
NoLOST$165K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2204-2504-29
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 91% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

As of market creation, Meta Platforms is estimated to release earnings on April 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Meta Platforms's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $6.62 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta Platforms reports GAAP EPS greater than $6.62 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Meta Platforms releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Deposita

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around April 29, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 91.3% one day before close, 92.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$165K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.