How did "Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?" resolve?

It resolved $560 around March 31, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 19.0% one day before close, 88.5% one week before and 87.5% one month before.

Home / Markets / Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?

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Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?: result and scorecard

Name: Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved $560. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 19.0%; a week before, 88.5%. $92K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

$560

resolved March 31, 2026

Price 1 day before

19.0%

Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

88.5%

30 days before: 87.5%

Volume

$92K

13 outcomes

Meta Equities Finance Hide From New Stocks

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
$560	WON	$25K
$540	WON	$5K
$640	LOST	$21K
$680	LOST	$8K
$620	LOST	$6K
$580	LOST	$6K
$780	LOST	$4K
$740	LOST	$3K
$720	LOST	$3K
$660	LOST	$3K
$760	LOST	$3K
$600	LOST	$2K
$700	LOST	$2K

Price history to resolution

$560$540$640$680

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 19% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?" resolve?: It resolved $560 around March 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 19.0% one day before close, 88.5% one week before and 87.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $92K across 13 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.