How many EPL points will Man City be deducted?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 50+ at 39.5%, ahead of Expelled at 27.2%. $33K traded across 7 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
EPLSoccerSportsMan CityManchester City
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 50+ | 39.5% | 0.0 |
| Expelled | 27.2% | +1.6 |
| 0 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
| 30-49 | 9.7% | +0.5 |
| 20-29 | 6.1% | 0.0 |
| 10-19 | 3.1% | +0.1 |
| 1-9 | 1.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the total number of Premier League points Manchester City FC is deducted as a sanction as a result of the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case), as officially determined as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If a points deduction is reduced, increased, or overturned on appeal and the appeal decision is officially announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the most recent officially announced deduction will be used. If deductions are applied across more than one season, the total across all seasons will count. A suspended points deduction that is not immediately applied will not count. If no points deduction has been imposed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "0". If, as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the most recent officially announced sanction in this case expels Manchester City FC from the Premier League, this market will resolve to "Expelled", regardless of any points deduction. Each range includes both of its bounds, so every whole number of points maps to exactly one option. For example, a deduction of 10 points resolves to "10-19", and a deduction of 50 points resolves to "50+". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "How many EPL points will Man City be deducted?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 50+ is the favorite at 39.5%, followed by Expelled at 27.2%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $33K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $5K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.