How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?: result and scorecard
Resolved 0. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 91.5%; a week before, 48.0%. $12K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
WeatherclimateearthquakeEarthquakesNatural Disaster
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| 0 | WON |
| 1 | LOST |
| 2 | LOST |
| 3 | LOST |
| 5 | LOST |
| 4 | LOST |
| more than 5 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?" resolve?
- It resolved 0 around September 7, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 91.5% one day before close, 48.0% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $12K across 7 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.