What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Resolved market scorecard

Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET: result and scorecard

Name: Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Down. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $52K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Down

resolved November 5, 2026

Price 1 day before

–

Unknown

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$52K

1 outcome

Up or Down Crypto Prices Hide From New Recurring Crypto

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Down	WON	$52K
Up	LOST	$52K

Price history to resolution

DownUp

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at – the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET" resolve?: It resolved Down around November 5, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $52K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.