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Home / Markets / Chiefs Week 1 starting QB in 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

Chiefs Week 1 starting QB in 2026?: result and scorecard

Resolved Patrick Mahomes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 92.9%; a week before, 90.8%. $37K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Patrick Mahomes
resolved September 15, 2026

Price 1 day before

92.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

90.8%
30 days before: 52.0%

Volume

$37K
31 outcomes

NFL (All)chiefsSportspatrick mahomes

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Patrick MahomesWON$1K
Justin FieldsLOST$22K
Chris OladokunLOST$12K
Joe FlaccoLOST$972
Gardner MinshewLOST$886
OtherOPEN$0
Person BOPEN$0
Person COPEN$0
Person DOPEN$0
Person EOPEN$0
Person FOPEN$0
Person GOPEN$0
Person HOPEN$0
Person IOPEN$0
Person JOPEN$0
Person KOPEN$0
Person LOPEN$0
Person MOPEN$0
Person NOPEN$0
Person OOPEN$0
Person POPEN$0
Person QOPEN$0
Person ROPEN$0
Person SOPEN$0
Person TOPEN$0
Person UOPEN$0
Person VOPEN$0
Person WOPEN$0
Person XOPEN$0
Person YOPEN$0
Person ZOPEN$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-1705-0209-15
Patrick MahomesJustin FieldsChris OladokunJoe Flacco
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 93% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2026-2027 NFL season. If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback. This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Chiefs Week 1 starting QB in 2026?" resolve?
It resolved Patrick Mahomes around September 10, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 92.9% one day before close, 90.8% one week before and 52.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$37K across 31 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.