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Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27): live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Bayern Munich at 97.0%, ahead of Borussia Dortmund at 79.5%. $11K traded across 18 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

97.0%
Bayern Munich · Trade →

24h move

-0.9
pts · 7d +0.5

Volume

$11K
24h $0 · liquidity $6K

Closes

June 6, 2027
212 days left

SoccerSportsBundesliga

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Bayern Munich97.0% -0.9+0.5$9311.9¢
Borussia Dortmund79.5% +0.5-1.0$57837.0¢
Bayer Leverkusen62.5% -4.5+1.0$31023.0¢
RB Leipzig59.5% 0.0+3.0$98713.0¢
1. FC Köln50.3% +0.8+0.1$097.2¢
Werder Bremen47.9% +30.3+0.9$093.5¢
SV Elversberg45.0% +12.6+2.3$11687.8¢
SC Freiburg43.0% +0.5+3.5$38636.0¢
Mainz 0537.0% -4.0-9.5$072.0¢
VfB Stuttgart32.5% +2.0+6.0$043.0¢
TSG Hoffenheim28.5% +3.5+10.0$16231.0¢
FC Augsburg24.1% +9.5-0.4$6046.1¢
Hamburger SV21.6% +8.0+2.9$4K25.7¢
Schalke 0417.4% +7.2+4.4$2K28.9¢
Union Berlin16.8% +3.8-6.3$45829.4¢
Borussia Mönchengladbach3.0% 0.00.0$03.9¢
SC Paderborn1.6% +0.4-0.1$1K2.8¢
Eintracht Frankfurt0.9% 0.0+0.1$4821.5¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%08-2810-0211-06
Bayern MunichBorussia DortmundBayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 4 (positions 1 through 4) of the final standings of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie for the final top-4 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by the Bundesliga as finishing in the top 4 of the final standings. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Bayern Munich at 97% risks 97¢ to win 3¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)"?
As of November 6, 2026, Bayern Munich is the favorite at 97.0%, followed by Borussia Dortmund at 79.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on June 6, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$11K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $6K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.