Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is TSG Hoffenheim at 53.8%, ahead of FSV Mainz 05 at 52.0%. $33K traded across 18 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
SoccerSportsBundesligaQualificationUEFA Europa League
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim | 53.8% | -0.9 |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 50.5% | 0.0 |
| Hamburger SV | 49.8% | -0.5 |
| FC Augsburg | 49.5% | +2.0 |
| Union Berlin | 46.5% | -2.5 |
| Schalke 04 | 45.5% | -0.5 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 43.5% | +2.0 |
| RB Leipzig | 38.5% | +0.5 |
| Werder Bremen | 36.0% | 0.0 |
| SC Freiburg | 30.5% | +0.5 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 21.9% | 0.0 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 12.0% | 0.0 |
| SV Elversberg | 10.6% | +1.0 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 10.2% | -0.1 |
| 1. FC Köln | 7.0% | 0.0 |
| SC Paderborn | 5.7% | +0.1 |
| Bayern Munich | 4.9% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League through the 2026-27 Bundesliga season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Bundesliga league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Bundesliga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled or postponed past June 6, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League"?
- As of November 6, 2026, TSG Hoffenheim is the favorite at 53.8%, followed by FSV Mainz 05 at 52.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on June 7, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $33K in total and $20 in the last 24 hours, with about $7K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.