Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Bayern Munich at 97.1%, ahead of Borussia Dortmund at 96.5%. $36K traded across 18 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
SoccerSportsBundesligaQualificationUEFA Champions League
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 97.1% | -0.1 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 96.5% | +0.6 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 63.5% | 0.0 |
| RB Leipzig | 63.0% | 0.0 |
| SC Freiburg | 41.5% | 0.0 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 23.0% | 0.0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 13.5% | +7.2 |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 12.0% | -5.0 |
| Werder Bremen | 11.8% | 0.0 |
| SV Elversberg | 7.1% | 0.0 |
| Schalke 04 | 5.7% | +0.1 |
| FC Augsburg | 5.2% | 0.0 |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 5.2% | +0.1 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5.0% | 0.0 |
| Union Berlin | 4.7% | +0.1 |
| Hamburger SV | 4.3% | +0.2 |
| 1. FC Köln | 2.8% | -0.2 |
| SC Paderborn | 1.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Bundesliga season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Bundesliga league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Bundesliga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled or postponed past June 6, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Bayern Munich is the favorite at 97.1%, followed by Borussia Dortmund at 96.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on June 7, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $36K in total and $48 in the last 24 hours, with about $16K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.