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Home / Markets / Argentina vs. Benin: Messi Goals
Resolved market scorecard

Argentina vs. Benin: Messi Goals: result and scorecard

Resolved 1+. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 74.0%; a week before, –. $56K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

1+
resolved October 7, 2026

Price 1 day before

74.0%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$56K
4 outcomes

SoccerSportsArgentinaLionel MessiFifa Friendly

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
1+WON$24K
3+LOST$16K
4+LOST$10K
2+LOST$6K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-0610-07
1+3+4+2+
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 74% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Lionel Messi is scheduled to play his final match for the Argentina men's national team against Benin at the Estadio Monumental in Buenos Aires on October 6, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Lionel Messi scores in this match equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only goals scored during regular time and stoppage time count. Only goals credited to Messi on the official match report count. Penalty kicks scored during the match count; penalty shootout goals and own goals do not count. If the match is abandoned and not replayed, goals scored before the abandonment count. If Lionel Messi does not play in this match for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is cancelled, postponed beyond October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many goals Lionel Messi scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". If the match is postponed to a date on or before October 20, 2026, this market will resolve based on the rescheduled match. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official match report published by FIFA or the Argentine Football Association (AFA); however, a consensus of credible reporting, including match data from Flashscore or Sofascore, may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Argentina vs. Benin: Messi Goals" resolve?
It resolved 1+ around October 7, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 74.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$56K across 4 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.