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Home / Markets / Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of March?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of March?: result and scorecard

Resolved $200. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 52.0%; a week before, 85.0%. $152K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

$200
resolved April 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

52.0%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

85.0%
30 days before: 62.5%

Volume

$152K
13 outcomes

AMZNEquitiesFinanceHide From NewStocks

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
$200WON$9K
$190WON$6K
$180WON$3K
$150WON$2K
$160WON$2K
$170WON$845
$260LOST$78K
$270LOST$29K
$210LOST$11K
$220LOST$4K
$230LOST$4K
$250LOST$3K
$240LOST$953

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-2803-1403-29
$200$190$180$150
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 52% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of March?" resolve?
It resolved $200 around March 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 52.0% one day before close, 85.0% one week before and 62.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$152K across 13 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.