Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of November?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is $280 at 93.5%, ahead of $300 at 91.8%. $583 traded across 13 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
AAPLEquitiesFinanceHide From NewStocks
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| $280 | 93.5% | +3.6 |
| $300 | 91.8% | -0.8 |
| $290 | 91.5% | +1.8 |
| $310 | 91.5% | +5.0 |
| $320 | 87.0% | -1.0 |
| $330 | 71.0% | -10.5 |
| $340 | 56.0% | -10.0 |
| $350 | 36.5% | -12.0 |
| $360 | 22.5% | -8.0 |
| $370 | 16.0% | -4.0 |
| $380 | 13.4% | +2.8 |
| $400 | 7.3% | -2.8 |
| $390 | 7.2% | -2.9 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of November 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of November?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, $280 is the favorite at 93.5%, followed by $300 at 91.8%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 30, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $583 in total and $168 in the last 24 hours, with about $15K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.