2026 Rugby League World Cup Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Australia at 51.0%, ahead of Samoa at 51.0%. $360 traded across 7 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Australia | 51.0% | +0.5 |
| Samoa | 51.0% | +0.5 |
| England | 50.0% | +4.5 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| New Zealand | 48.5% | 0.0 |
| Fiji | 47.5% | +2.0 |
| Tonga | 47.0% | -3.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Men's Rugby League World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Men's Rugby League World Cup, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men's Rugby League World Cup is cancelled, postponed after November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from International Rugby League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "2026 Rugby League World Cup Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Australia is the favorite at 51.0%, followed by Samoa at 51.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 16, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $360 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $24 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.