Resolved market scorecard
2023 Time Person of the Year: result and scorecard
Resolved Taylor Swift. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 22.4%; a week before, –. $135K traded in total.
Result
Taylor Swift
resolved December 6, 2023
Price 1 day before
22.4%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$135K
8 outcomes
Allbenjamin netanyahuTaylor SwiftentertainmentMusic
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Taylor Swift | WON |
| Sam Altman | LOST |
| AI | LOST |
| Elon Musk | LOST |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | LOST |
| Joe Biden | LOST |
| Xi Jinping | LOST |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Taylor SwiftSam AltmanAIElon Musk
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 22% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
Frequently asked questions
- How did "2023 Time Person of the Year" resolve?
- It resolved Taylor Swift around January 15, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 22.4% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $135K across 8 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.