What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.

Home / Markets / 2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republ

Resolved market scorecard

2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?: result and scorecard

Name: 2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Republican. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $461K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Republican

resolved November 24, 2022

Price 1 day before

–

Unknown

Price 7 days before

–

30 days before: –

Volume

$461K

16 outcomes

All

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Republican	WON	$1K
Democrat	WON	$82K
Republican	WON	$52K
Democrat	WON	$128K
Democrat	WON	$50K
Republican	WON	$2K
Republican	WON	$4K
Democrat	WON	$42K
Democrat	WON	$6K
Democrat	WON	$37K
Democrat	WON	$7K
Democrat	WON	$12K
Democrat	WON	$28K
Democrat	WON	$5K
Republican	WON	$3K
Republican	WON	$3K
Democrat	LOST	$3K
Democrat	LOST	$3K
Republican	LOST	$5K
Republican	LOST	$28K
Republican	LOST	$12K
Republican	LOST	$7K
Republican	LOST	$37K
Republican	LOST	$6K
Republican	LOST	$42K
Democrat	LOST	$4K
Democrat	LOST	$2K
Republican	LOST	$50K
Republican	LOST	$128K
Democrat	LOST	$52K
Republican	LOST	$82K
Democrat	LOST	$1K

Price history to resolution

Not enough price history yet for a chart.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at – the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This is a group market on which parties will win different states in the 2022 U.S. Gubernatorial (governor) elections, scheduled for November 8 2022.

Frequently asked questions

How did "2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?" resolve?: It resolved Republican around November 8, 2022.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?: $461K across 16 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.