BetG8
Scorecard (BetG8)
BetG8's record of what prediction markets priced before resolution and what actually happened, graded with hit rate and Brier score.
Each resolved high-volume market gets a page showing the price of the eventual outcome one day, one week and one month before close. The monthly scorecard aggregates them into a favorite hit rate and a Brier score.
The purpose is accountability in both directions: markets that were confidently wrong are listed next to the ones that were right, with the numbers, not the narrative.
Sample sizes are modest, so one month is a snapshot and a year is evidence.
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Where you will see it on BetG8
More betg8 terms
Frequently asked questions
- What does "Scorecard (BetG8)" mean?
- BetG8's record of what prediction markets priced before resolution and what actually happened, graded with hit rate and Brier score.
- Why does scorecard (betg8) matter for prediction markets?
- Sample sizes are modest, so one month is a snapshot and a year is evidence.